Posted 7 November 2014
Maurice Newman, chairman of the Australian Prime Minister's Business Advisory Committee, writing in The Australian, says:
"Climate scientists have been telling us for decades with '95 per cent certainty' that temperatures would move in lock step with CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere. We have been force-fed on climate change being 'extremely likely' (is that a scientific term?) to be the product of human activity. Yet, with the highest human emissions of greenhouse gases in history, temnperatures have gone nowhere for 18 years. We were warned the heat was stored in the deep oceans and would return with a vengeance. Now, 3500 Argo buoys and NASA can't find it.'
IPCC CLIMATE CASE SMACKS
November 07, 2014 12:00AM
fossil fuels in the ground,” Greens leader Christine Milne says. “Renewable
energy is the future.” “Coal is a stranded asset.” “It’s driving
global warming.” “It’s a huge risk to the planet,” she adds, lest we miss the
prescription for a vibrant Australian economy includes “keeping the renewable
energy target at 41,000 gigawatt-hours”, “stopping new coalmines”, “no
coal-seam gas’’ and “no new ports”. “Jobs will come from green energy,” Milne
could have added, there are fairies at the bottom of her garden.
Milne is unaware of the cost to California, Europe and Britain of their ultra
Golden State’s energy prices are 40 per cent above the US national average,
plunging its manufacturing and agricultural regions into depression,
with one in five living in poverty.
at Spain’s King Juan Carlos University have found renewable energy programs
destroyed 2.2 jobs for every green one created.
study by Verso Economics commissioned by the Scottish government concluded that
for every job in the wind industry, 3.7 jobs were lost elsewhere.
the average person, this is what is so confusing about the climate change
tell us one thing, but the reality is different. In 2009, when chief scientist
Penny Sackett threatened we had only five years to avoid “disastrous global
warming”, we were alarmed. Now we realise she was being emotional.
climate commissioner Tim Flannery said that “even the rain that falls isn’t
actually going to fill our dams and river systems”, it was sobering,
but soon we were donating to flood victims and suspected he’d dreamt it up to
scientists have been telling us for decades with “95 per cent certainty” that
temperatures would move in lock step with CO2 concentrations
in the atmosphere. We have been force-fed on climate change being “extremely
likely” (is that a scientific term?) to be the product of human activity.
with the highest human emissions of greenhouse gases in history, temperatures
have gone nowhere for 18 years.
were warned the heat was stored in the deep oceans and would return with a
vengeance. Now, 3500 Argo buoys and NASA can’t find it.
proved wrong, the voice of authority demands silence from rational doubters.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, singing from the green song sheet,
wants governments to turn their backs on coal, the cheapest,
most efficient energy source on the planet. We are warned of tipping points and
catastrophe but offered no scientific proof, just speculation.
are falling meekly into line, with the Europeans boasting they will embrace an
RET of 40 per cent by 2030. Sitting at 17 per cent, the
EU is unlikely to meet even its 20 per cent target by 2020, let alone 80 per
cent to 95 per cent by 2050.
talk could reduce emissions, plants would be gasping. But rhetoric is different
from reality. Some of Europe’s dirtiest coal-fired power stations
are receiving subsidies to extend their lifespan. Germany is building 10
coal-fired plants to generate cheaper power. Whatever the dreamers
say, economics will drive this debate, not climate theory.
recent IPCC Synthesis Report is primarily a political document designed to push
governments into signing a tougher global emissions abatement agreement in
Paris next year. In the bizarre world of climate change, the plan is to legally
oblige countries to put forward their proposals and report on progress.
no penalty will be imposed if countries miss targets or renege on commitments.
It’s appearances that count.
painting the bleakest picture they can, IPCC authors have projected CO2 levels
reaching 1000 parts per million in 2100, largely through coal combustion,
despite BP in its Energy Outlook 2035 stating, “Coal is expected to be the
slowest growing major fuel, with demand rising 1.1 per cent a year by 2035”,
because production costs rise as extraction goes deeper.
IPCC case smacks of desperation. With improved energy efficiency and the
growing use of nuclear power, the scenario it paints is highly improbable.
Typically, it ignores the growing gap between climate models and observations.
It overlooks the slowing of sea-level rises or that sea temperatures are within
natural variability. It fails to mention that the extent of Antarctic sea ice
is the highest since records began.
are we told of glacier studies that confirm the Roman and Medieval Warm Periods
were as warm as today. The pause is discounted, with the IPCC relying on a
longer-term upward trend.
truths are not permitted in this alarmist report. The endorsement by UN
Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon will make it harder for
Australia to hold on to its comparative advantage of cheap coal, but our
economic and business self-interest must come before international
popularity, particularly given the case to do otherwise is so shaky.
the debate over the RET and Direct Action shows all sides of politics remain
hostage to the climate change cartel, an ABC radio poll asked: “Is the IPCC right
that on current fossil use ‘projectories’, we are heading for a global warming
of four or five degrees by century’s end?” The result? Of 3101 votes counted,
91 per cent voted no, only 9 per cent yes.
Maurice Newman chairs the
Committee. These views are his own.