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ARE THERE MORE DROUGHTS AHEAD IN AFRICA?

Posted 6 September 2011

Distinguished South African hydrologist, Professor Will Alexander poses a questionmabout future droughts. He comments: "It is hoped that the discussions this week will be able to produce a draft proposal to the ministers meeting on October 20 and 21 at the next and last scheduled ministerial meeting before COP17. Sadly, as demonstrated in the attached and earlier memos, the whole climate change issue is an exercise in futility. There is no analytically believable evidence that links greenhouse gas emissions with adverse climatic changes. "

 

 

More droughts ahead

Will Alexander This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it

Tuesday 6 September 2011

 

We in South Africa and probably in many other parts of the world are not out of the woods yet. I suggest that you spend some time studying Figure 3 in the attached memo. It has a lot of interesting features. Bear in mind that the units in the horizontal axis are the number of years since the river flow minimum that is associated with the commencement of the double sunspot cycle. The first and most active cycle consists of years 1 to 10 and the second quieter cycle consists of year 11 through to the start of the next cycle.

The characteristics associated with the alternating cycles are fundamentally different. This explains why searches for linkages with the 11-year sunspot cycles have failed.

Durban conference

Our weekend newspapers reported that international climate and environment ministers will meet in South Africa this week to try to clear major obstacles still blocking the way towards a successful climate control agreement at the COP 17 conference in Durban starting at the end of November. One of the major concerns is that Durban could become the burial ground of the Kyoto Protocol.

It is hoped that the discussions this week will be able to produce a draft proposal to the ministers meeting on October 20 and 21 at the next and last scheduled ministerial meeting before COP17.

Sadly, as demonstrated in the attached and earlier memos, the whole climate change issue is an exercise in futility. There is no analytically believable evidence that links greenhouse gas emissions with adverse climatic changes.

Regards,

Will

 Download pdf "More Droughts Ahead?" here

 

Last Updated ( Friday, 09 September 2011 )
 
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